Tidal Wave II


Questions & Answers

Posted 26 Jan 2000

Q: Where do these UC enrollment growth numbers come from?

A: The projected enrollment by the Office of the President was based on several factors and includes new freshmen, transfer students and a growth in graduate students.

The new freshman estimates come from projections by the Demographic Research Unit of the Department of Finance. They are based on the number of high school students graduating between now and 2010. UC plans to enroll at least the same proportion of California high school graduates in the future as it does now.

The estimate of transfer students is based on a systemwide memorandum of an understanding with community colleges that will increase community college transfers by 40 percent to 14,500 per year.

The graduate student enrollment reflects the number of graduate students UC faculty say is necessary to maintain the quality and character of the research university education and to continue to do research that significantly contributes to California's economy and quality of life.

Q: Why is the rate of growth higher than expected?

A: The university had planned for growth, projecting an estimated 39,000 additional students through 2010. The current projection of 63,000 additional students systemwide reflects, among other factors, a turn around in the California economy that has triggered more than anticipated population growth and stronger demand for college participation.

Q: How did UC decide how many students each campus should absorb ?

A: The Office of the President determined that a proportional distribution of the additional enrollment growth based on each campus's long range development plan would be the most reasonable allocation. Already UC Riverside is expected to grow by 108 percent through 2010, and Irvine and San Diego also are planning for major growth of 76 percent and 64 percent respectively. It said that to ask a few of the campuses to accommodate all the growth would be unreasonable and could jeopardize the quality of the academic programs.

Q: Berkeley has been asked to explore the feasibility of accommodating 4,000 additional students over the next 10 years. Is this number final?

A: None of the campus numbers are final, and there may be some changes made as campuses and local communities work through the public review process of new long range development plans. The Office of the President, however, believes the estimate of 63,000 additional students systemwide will remain firm.

Q: Isn't Berkeley already coming close to the enrollment total agreed upon with the city of Berkeley in the Long Range Development Plan?

A: Yes. The plan currently in effect runs through 2005, when the two-semester average enrollment was targeted at 29,450. (This is based on total head count, which is different from the full-time equivalent measure of enrollment projections.) Any major change proposed to the LRDP will necessitate an environmental impact review and significant public input.

Q: How are the campuses to pay for the faculty who will teach these additional students and for the services and facilities they will need?

A: The Office of the President has said that funding for capital improvements and on-going operational costs are the responsibility of the state as a whole.

Further, the study committee at Berkeley appointed by the chancellor stated one of its planning principles as: "The first call on the funding we receive for increased enrollment must be to cover the costs of instruction, including administrative overhead and student services."

Q: What happens after 2010? Is more growth expected?

A: The current projections call for a leveling off of the rate of enrollment growth after 2010.

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